What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Mercados
Credit
- Yes51%
- No49%
Volumen $11.6K · Liquidez $8K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Yes83%
- No17%
Volumen $7.4K · Liquidez $5.8K
Restrictive
- Yes84%
- No16%
Volumen $6.9K · Liquidez $4.8K
Productivity
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volumen $6.4K · Liquidez $3.8K
Central Bank
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volumen $5.3K · Liquidez $4K
Uncertainty
- Yes70%
- No30%
Volumen $4.1K · Liquidez $2.7K
Shock
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volumen $3.8K · Liquidez $3.1K
Good Day
- Yes92%
- No8%
Volumen $3.5K · Liquidez $2K
Trump
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $2.6K · Liquidez $2.3K
Renovation
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $1.6K · Liquidez $1.6K
Unchanged
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volumen $1.6K · Liquidez $1.1K
Projection
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $961.3
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volumen $1.1K · Liquidez $918.3
National Debt
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $1.1K · Liquidez $1.1K
Event does not qualify
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $1.1K · Liquidez $810.8
Good Afternoon
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $998.9 · Liquidez $712.7
Balance Sheet
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volumen $941.8 · Liquidez $745.8
Consumer Confidence
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $875.9 · Liquidez $875.9
Gold
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $835.9 · Liquidez $804.7
Dollar
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volumen $828.1 · Liquidez $546.3
Anchor / Anchored
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volumen $826 · Liquidez $746
Iran
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volumen $762.2 · Liquidez $406.4
Diesel
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $738.3 · Liquidez $710.3
Geopolitical
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volumen $697.6 · Liquidez $585.6
Softening
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volumen $681.1 · Liquidez $455.2
Tax
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $581.8 · Liquidez $581.8
President
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volumen $578.1 · Liquidez $441.9
Commodity
- Yes39%
- No61%
Volumen $513.9 · Liquidez $363.8
Oil
- Yes61%
- No39%
Volumen $482.5 · Liquidez $387
ADP
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $476.3 · Liquidez $466.9
Egg
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $469 · Liquidez $469
Dissent
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volumen $462.3 · Liquidez $462.3
Inflation Expectation
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volumen $407.4 · Liquidez $210.9
Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $363.1 · Liquidez $363.1
Japan / Japanese / Yen
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $324.5 · Liquidez $207.4
Probability
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volumen $298.8 · Liquidez $298.8
Family Fight / Family Feud
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volumen $284.6 · Liquidez $180.1
Volatility
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volumen $281.8 · Liquidez $156
Bitcoin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $264.6 · Liquidez $264.6
Stagflation
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $251.2 · Liquidez $251.2
Recession
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $230.7 · Liquidez $207
Risk Management
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volumen $223.5 · Liquidez $223.5
Pandemic
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volumen $194.2 · Liquidez $165.3
Independent / Independence
- Yes71%
- No29%
Volumen $128.9 · Liquidez $42.9
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $117.3 · Liquidez $109.7
QT / Quantitative Tightening
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $77.1 · Liquidez $70
QE / Quantitative Easing
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volumen $29.2 · Liquidez $23
Reglas de resolución
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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