US defaults before 2028?
Mercados
Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2027?
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $2.5K · Liquidez $201
Reglas de resolución
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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Exactly 0: 17%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Global remittance cost at the end of 2027
Above 5.00%: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
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How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
Above 7.25%: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 30 dic 2027
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027
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US unemployment rate at year-end 2027
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