Mercados de predicción de Economía
Mercados de Kalshi en vivo sobre inflación, tasas de interés, empleo, acciones y empresas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 81%
Vol. 24h $487.5 · Cierra 1 ene 2031
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Anthropic: 98%
Vol. 24h $93.7 · Cierra 1 ene 2040
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $75 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
Jeff Bezos: 23%
Vol. 24h $37 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $5.5 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
When will Bloomberg officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 51%
Vol. 24h $5.5 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $4 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 20%
Vol. 24h $2 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
No: 87%
Vol. 24h $0.6 · Cierra 30 jun 2029
When will Larry Fink leave as BlackRock CEO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2032
US real GDP growth in 2032?
2.1% to 2.5%: 10%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 feb 2033
US trade deficit for 2032
Above $500 billion: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 feb 2033
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
Above 2.0%: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 ene 2030
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
Above 56.50%: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 ene 2033
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?
Troy Rohrbaugh: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?
Deel: 58%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2040
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
Above 0.0%: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 ene 2037
US real GDP growth in 2036?
1.6% to 2.0%: 31%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2037
US unemployment rate at year-end 2036
Above 3.0%: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 ene 2037
US unemployment rate at year-end 2035
Above 3.0%: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 ene 2036
Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?
Troy Rohrbaugh: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2035
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2034
Above 56.00%: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 ene 2035
US real GDP growth in 2034?
0.0% or Below: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 feb 2035
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
Above 3.0%: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 ene 2033
When will Michael Dell leave as Dell CEO?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2032
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
Above 57.00%: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 ene 2031
Fed funds rate at end of 2030
Above 3.00%: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2031
Who will be the next COO of Goldman Sachs?
Ashok Varadhan: 11%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2030
US real GDP growth in 2029?
2.1% to 2.5%: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 feb 2030
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029
Above 3.0%: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 ene 2030
When will Bernard Arnault leave as LVMH CEO?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2034
When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000?
Before Dec 31, 2029: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
US real GDP growth in 2033?
1.6% to 2.0%: 23%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 feb 2034
US unemployment rate at year-end 2033
Above 5.5%: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 ene 2034
Fed funds rate at end of 2033
Above 1.75%: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2034
When will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
US real GDP growth in 2031?
1.6% to 2.0%: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 feb 2032
US trade deficit for 2031
Above $600 billion: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 feb 2032
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
Above 3.5%: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2032
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
Above 56.50%: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 ene 2032
Fed funds rate at end of 2031
Above 1.00%: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2032
Fed funds rate at end of 2029
Above 1.00%: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2036
Above 56.00%: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 ene 2037
Fed funds rate at end of 2036
Above 2.00%: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2037
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035
Above 56.00%: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 ene 2036
Fed funds rate at end of 2035
Above 1.00%: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2036
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
Above 0.0%: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2035