Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep: 67%
Vol. 24h $3.3M · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Texas Senate winner?
James Talarico: 68%
Vol. 24h $2.4M · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $2.1M · Cierra 1 feb 2027
California Governor winner? (Person)
Xavier Becerra: 97%
Vol. 24h $907.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Jon Ossoff: 16%
Vol. 24h $756.2K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Texas Governor winner?
Greg Abbott: 64%
Vol. 24h $581.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Senate winner?
Sherrod Brown: 70%
Vol. 24h $544.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party: 68%
Vol. 24h $532.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Georgia Governor winner?
Keisha Lance Bottoms: 61%
Vol. 24h $455.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nebraska Senate winner?
Pete Ricketts: 74%
Vol. 24h $381.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52: 40%
Vol. 24h $364.6K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Ohio Governor winner?
Amy Acton: 80%
Vol. 24h $349.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Senate winner?
Peggy Flanagan: 88%
Vol. 24h $329.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan Senate winner?
Abdul El-Sayed: 70%
Vol. 24h $308.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
TX-15 House winner?
Bobby Pulido: 88%
Vol. 24h $254.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance: 21%
Vol. 24h $244.6K · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Idaho Senate winner?
Jim Risch: 89%
Vol. 24h $242.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maine Senate winner?
Troy Jackson: 66%
Vol. 24h $231.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly: 17%
Vol. 24h $229K · Cierra 27 ene 2029
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193: 36%
Vol. 24h $220.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance: 41%
Vol. 24h $203K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
48: 20%
Vol. 24h $186K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Kansas Senate winner?
Roger Marshall: 61%
Vol. 24h $183.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
James Talarico and Troy Jackson: 57%
Vol. 24h $159.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina Senate winner?
Darline Graham: 84%
Vol. 24h $147.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York Governor winner?
Kathy Hochul: 95%
Vol. 24h $145.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
234-237: 17%
Vol. 24h $134.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Florida Governor winner?
Byron Donalds: 79%
Vol. 24h $127.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
FL-14 House winner?
Kathy Castor: 64%
Vol. 24h $100.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate winner?
Ashley Moody: 90%
Vol. 24h $97.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Democrats, 8 to 10%: 25%
Vol. 24h $96.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Alaska Senate winner?
Democratic party: 75%
Vol. 24h $95.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Senate winner?
Ashley Hinson: 59%
Vol. 24h $81.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
MT-01 House winner?
Aaron Flint: 53%
Vol. 24h $80.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes: 84%
Vol. 24h $80.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Nevada Governor winner?
Aaron Ford: 67%
Vol. 24h $75.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar: 94%
Vol. 24h $75.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 49%
Vol. 24h $74.8K · Cierra 27 oct 2027
NC-11 House winner?
Jamie Ager: 85%
Vol. 24h $72K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53: 61%
Vol. 24h $69.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Texas Senate margin of victory
James Talarico, 1+ pts: 64%
Vol. 24h $65.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Iowa: 15%
Vol. 24h $62.8K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Massachusetts Governor winner?
Maura Healey: 96%
Vol. 24h $62.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
VA-05 House winner?
John McGuire: 57%
Vol. 24h $62K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
MO-02 House winner?
Ann Wagner: 61%
Vol. 24h $58K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York Attorney General winner?
Letitia James: 92%
Vol. 24h $57.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Talarico defeats Paxton: 67%
Vol. 24h $56.6K · Cierra 3 ene 2028
Next French presidential election winner?
Marine Le Pen: 52%
Vol. 24h $55.2K · Cierra 30 may 2028