Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Illinois's 16th District margin of victory
LaHood, 6+ pts: 86%
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Illinois's 15th District margin of victory
Miller, 21+ pts: 88%
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Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
Tokuda, 29+ pts: 83%
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California's 2nd District margin of victory
Huffman, 22+ pts: 95%
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California's 1st District margin of victory
McGuire, 5+ pts: 91%
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Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
Gosar, 9+ pts: 84%
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Utah?
1: 96%
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?
1: 96%
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Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
Yes: 82%
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Georgia's 2nd District margin of victory
Bishop, 5+ pts: 92%
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Georgia's 1st District margin of victory
Kingston, 3+ pts: 87%
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Alabama Senate margin of victory
Moore, 11+ pts: 91%
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Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 52%: 97%
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Bexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 56%: 94%
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Washington County, Ohio: Jon Husted vote percent
At least 56%: 97%
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Montgomery County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 50%: 96%
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Lucas County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 56%: 96%
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Hamilton County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 58%: 95%
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Franklin County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 64%: 96%
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Wayne County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 62%: 89%
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Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 78%: 96%
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Oakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 50%: 94%
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Macomb County, Michigan: Mike Rogers vote percent
At least 50%: 88%
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Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
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Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
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Polk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 56%: 84%
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Johnson County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 68%: 89%
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Gwinnett County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
At least 58%: 89%
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Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent
At least 50%: 97%
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Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 80%: 97%
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Montgomery County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 64%: 97%
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Queens County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 56%: 97%
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New York County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 78%: 82%
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Kings County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 66%: 96%
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Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
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Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
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Miami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
At least 42%: 94%
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Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
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Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 58%: 98%
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Pima County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
At least 58%: 99%
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Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
At least 60%: 97%
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Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?
Jimmy Blacklock: 75%
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Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
Brett Busby: 78%
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Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
Yes: 90%
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Vermont Governor margin of victory
Republicans, 2+ pts: 72%
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Vermont Governor margin of victory
Janoo, 2+ pts: 14%
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North Carolina's 9th District margin of victory
Ojeda, 1+ pts: 24%
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North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Smith, 1+ pts: 26%
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