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Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?

Markets

  • Above $160M

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Above $130M

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $790.2

  • Above $150M

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $920 · Liquidity $400

  • Above $140M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $819.3 · Liquidity $695.4

  • Above $110M

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $556.3 · Liquidity $336.3

  • Above $100M

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $297.7 · Liquidity $296.7

  • Above $120M

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $105.9 · Liquidity $104.7

  • Above $80M

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above $90M

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's is above $80M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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