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What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

Markets

  • Anthropic / Claude

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $689 · Liquidity $134

  • Gaming

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $306.1 · Liquidity $205.1

  • Cybersecurity

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $137.7 · Liquidity $137.7

  • Maia

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $120 · Liquidity $120

  • OpenAI (3+ times)

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $106 · Liquidity $106

  • Frontier

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Cobalt

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $19 · Liquidity $19

  • GitHub (3+ times)

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $11 · Liquidity $11

  • AMD / Advanced Micro Devices

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Helios

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Memory (3+ times)

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Activision / Blizzard

    • Yes45%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Autopilot

    • Yes71%
    • No30%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sovereign Cloud

    • Yes38%
    • No63%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If OpenAI (3+ times) is said by any Microsoft Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Microsoft Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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