What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
Markets
Afford / Affordable
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $46.7K · Liquidity $37.8K
Grok (3+ times)
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $14K · Liquidity $11.5K
Cybertruck
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $8.8K
Merge / Merger
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $6.3K
Megapack 3
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $3.9K
Gigafactory
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $4.5K
Intel
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $4.9K
Robotaxi
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $3.2K
Tariff
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $3.3K
Terafab
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $3.2K
China
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.7K
Semi
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.3K
Miami
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $2.2K
Supercharger / Super Charger
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.8K
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.1K
Roadster
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.9K
Six-Seater / Six-Seat
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2K
Safety Monitor
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.5K
Waymo
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.4K
Iran / Middle East
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.4K
Competition
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.4K
Solar
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K
SpaceX / xAI
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Cybercab
Closed- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Samsung
Closed- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $918.3 · Liquidity $808.1
Resolution rules
If Cybertruck is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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