Skip to content

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

Markets

  • Afford / Affordable

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $46.7K · Liquidity $37.8K

  • Grok (3+ times)

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $14K · Liquidity $11.5K

  • Cybertruck

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $8.8K

  • Merge / Merger

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • Megapack 3

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Gigafactory

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • Intel

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • Robotaxi

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Tariff

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Terafab

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • China

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Semi

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Miami

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Supercharger / Super Charger

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Roadster

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Six-Seater / Six-Seat

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $2K

  • Safety Monitor

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Waymo

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Iran / Middle East

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Competition

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Solar

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • SpaceX / xAI

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Cybercab

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Samsung

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $918.3 · Liquidity $808.1

Resolution rules

If Cybertruck is said by any Tesla representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Tesla earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses