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Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

Markets

  • Olivia Dean

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Olivia Rodrigo

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $937.6

  • Paul McCartney

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $947.7

  • J. Cole

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $857.5 · Liquidity $224

  • Sabrina Carpenter

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $813.4 · Liquidity $284

  • Patti Smith

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $681 · Liquidity $681

  • Chappell Roan

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $659.5 · Liquidity $283

  • Taylor Swift

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $438.3 · Liquidity $84.3

  • Bruce Springsteen

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $358 · Liquidity $233.5

  • Tyler, The Creator

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $350 · Liquidity $25

  • Bad Bunny

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $212 · Liquidity $11

  • Ice Spice

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $210

  • Ella Langley

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $207.6 · Liquidity $174.9

  • Drake

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $193.3 · Liquidity $138.3

  • John Mayer

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $103.6 · Liquidity $103.6

  • SZA

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $89 · Liquidity $87

  • Billie Eilish

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $70.9 · Liquidity $8.9

  • Rihanna

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $69.1 · Liquidity $67.1

  • Doja Cat

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $35 · Liquidity $11

  • Kendrick Lamar

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $27.9 · Liquidity $27.9

  • André 3000

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $25.7 · Liquidity $25.7

  • Travis Scott

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $8.8 · Liquidity $8.8

  • Frank Ocean

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $4.7 · Liquidity $4.7

  • Elton John

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Playboi Carti

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Lil Yachty

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lauryn Hill

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Chappell Roan is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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