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Oscar Winner: Best Adapted Screenplay

Markets

  • The Black Ball

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • The Odyssey

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • The Invite

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Dune: Part Three

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $2K

  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Project Hail Mary

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $2K

  • Wildwood

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Toy Story 5

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • The Social Reckoning

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • All of a Sudden

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • The Whisper Man

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Clarissa

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Saturn Return

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Cry to Heaven

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Ink

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

Resolution rules

If Clarissa has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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