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Oscar nominees: Best Adapted Screenplay

Markets

  • The Invite

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Project Hail Mary

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Dune: Part Three

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • The Social Reckoning

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • The Odyssey

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • The Black Ball

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • All of a Sudden

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Wildwood

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $928.5

  • Saturn Return

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Toy Story 5

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $546.9

  • Clarissa

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $985.8

  • Ink

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $708.2 · Liquidity $428.2

  • Cry to Heaven

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $459.5 · Liquidity $454.5

  • The Whisper Man

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $326 · Liquidity $212

Resolution rules

If Clarissa has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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