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Oscar Winner: Best Original Screenplay

Markets

  • Wild Horse Nine

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $16.2K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • The Debut

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • Obsession

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Digger

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • The Invite

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $842.4

  • Fjord

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Club Kid

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • The Odyssey

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $236.8 · Liquidity $236.8

  • Elsinore

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $198 · Liquidity $198

  • The Black Ball

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $88.2 · Liquidity $88.2

  • Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $62 · Liquidity $62

  • Fatherland

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $46 · Liquidity $46

  • A Place in Hell

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $25 · Liquidity $25

  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $18.8 · Liquidity $18.8

  • Forgotten Island

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • The Drama

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Tie

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Josephine

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Digger has won Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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