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SNL: Lorne Michaels' successor for showrunner

Markets

  • Tina Fey

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $19.3K · Liquidity $6.7K

  • Steve Higgins

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $14.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Seth Meyers

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Colin Jost

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • Kenan Thompson

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Maya Rudolph

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Mike Shoemaker

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $889

  • Judd Apatow

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $735.4

  • Bill Hader

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $865.8 · Liquidity $358.8

Resolution rules

If Tina Fey is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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