Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Markets
Zohran Mamdani
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $913.8K · Liquidity $457.7K
Pope Leo XIV
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $186.1K · Liquidity $86.7K
AI
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $183.4K · Liquidity $81K
Donald Trump
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $173.6K · Liquidity $84.5K
Bad Bunny
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $79K · Liquidity $25.8K
Elon Musk
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $48.5K · Liquidity $24.8K
Mark Carney
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $40.6K · Liquidity $32.8K
Taylor Swift
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $34K · Liquidity $10.3K
Sam Altman
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $27K · Liquidity $11.6K
Dario Amodei
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $26.8K · Liquidity $17.5K
Jerome Powell
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $19.1K · Liquidity $4.2K
ChatGPT
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $8.9K
Mojtaba Khamenei
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $18.4K · Liquidity $15.7K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $17K · Liquidity $13.4K
Bernie Sanders
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $14.2K · Liquidity $13.8K
Lionel Messi
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $14.1K · Liquidity $7.8K
Reid Wiseman
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $10.9K · Liquidity $5.2K
James Talarico
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $6.3K
Xi Jinping
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $7.3K
Christina Koch
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $2.4K
Alysa Liu
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2.9K
Marco Rubio
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $4K
Jeremy Hansen
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $2.4K
Kevin Warsh
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $5K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.7K
Victor Glover
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $2.2K
Abdul El-Sayed
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.7K
Péter Magyar
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.3K
Shehbaz Sharif
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $754.8
James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1K
Jon Ossoff
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K
Pete Hegseth
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $982.9 · Liquidity $943
JD Vance
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $797.1 · Liquidity $797.1
Hakeem Jeffries
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $625.9 · Liquidity $625.9
Susie Wiles
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $528.1 · Liquidity $528.1
Jared Kushner
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $500 · Liquidity $500
Erika Kirk
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $478.7 · Liquidity $478.7
Christopher Nolan
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $18.8 · Liquidity $18.8
Andy Burnham
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Steve Witkoff
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Chris Wright
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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Who will release a new album in 2026?
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24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
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No: 99%
24h vol $173.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
The Bachelorette S22: Will ABC air an episode in 2026?
No: 90%
24h vol $124.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Livvy Dunne and Paul Skenes: Engaged this year?
No: 85%
24h vol $90.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Jimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
No: 92%
24h vol $55.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $35.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will there be an announcement that Netflix’s Haunted Hotel is ending?
No: 71%
24h vol $34.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will NewJeans release a new song this year?
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24h vol $20 · Ends Jan 1, 2027

