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How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?

Markets

  • 5.3% or above

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $5.9K

  • 5.02% or above

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • 5.01% or above

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • 5.25% or above

    Closed
    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 5% or above

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • 5.24% or above

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $893

  • 5.35% or above

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 5.21% or above

    Closed
    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • 5.03% or above

    Closed
    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $658

  • 5.04% or above

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $612.1

  • 5.22% or above

    Closed
    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $504

  • 5.2% or above

    Closed
    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $526

  • 5.13% or above

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 5.06% or above

    Closed
    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $871 · Liquidity $668

  • 5.23% or above

    Closed
    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $804 · Liquidity $200

  • 5.16% or above

    Closed
    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $772.4 · Liquidity $217.8

  • 5.05% or above

    Closed
    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $619.7 · Liquidity $326.2

  • 5.11% or above

    Closed
    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $577 · Liquidity $472

  • 5.4% or above

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $573.2 · Liquidity $303.5

  • 5.5% or above

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $507 · Liquidity $387.5

  • 5.07% or above

    Closed
    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $404 · Liquidity $103

  • 5.45% or above

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $403.7 · Liquidity $220.3

  • 5.19% or above

    Closed
    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $300

  • 5.14% or above

    Closed
    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $309 · Liquidity $304

  • 5.18% or above

    Closed
    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • 5.1% or above

    Closed
    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $101 · Liquidity $101

  • 5.08% or above

    Closed
    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • 5.09% or above

    Closed
    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • 5.12% or above

    Closed
    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • 5.15% or above

    Closed
    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • 5.17% or above

    Closed
    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0.9 · Liquidity $0.9

Resolution rules

If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on any business day between Sep 17, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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