How low will gas prices in California get this year?
Markets
Below $4.10
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $27.1K · Liquidity $9.9K
Below $4.00
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $12.7K · Liquidity $5.6K
Below $3.90
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $2.8K
Below $3.80
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $2K
Resolution rules
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly lower than $4.10 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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