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China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

Markets

  • Above 1,600 million barrels

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $234 · Liquidity $78

  • Above 1,500 million barrels

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $166 · Liquidity $164.3

  • Above 1,400 million barrels

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $11.2

  • Above 1,450 million barrels

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $33.8 · Liquidity $19

  • Above 1,550 million barrels

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,400 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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