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When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

Markets

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $413.9K · Liquidity $331.2K

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $389.8K · Liquidity $346.3K

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $234.5K · Liquidity $149.7K

  • Before May 1, 2027

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $113.7K · Liquidity $38.3K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $110K · Liquidity $57.6K

  • Before Apr 1, 2027

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $85.2K · Liquidity $29.6K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $74.1K · Liquidity $36K

  • Before Mar 1, 2027

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $61.2K · Liquidity $24.4K

  • Before Feb 1, 2027

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $50.1K · Liquidity $24.8K

  • Before 2028

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $44.8K · Liquidity $24.7K

Resolution rules

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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