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Government spending increase in 2026

Markets

  • At least $400 billion

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $911.7

  • At least $500 billion

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least $300 billion

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $834.2

  • At least $750 billion

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $903.2

  • At least $200 billion

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $817.1 · Liquidity $634.1

  • At least $1 trillion

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $581.7 · Liquidity $525.7

  • At least $1 billion

    • Yes95%
    • No6%

    Volume $62 · Liquidity $50

  • At least $50 billion

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $36 · Liquidity $15

  • At least $100 billion

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $28 · Liquidity $16

Resolution rules

If government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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