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MacBook base model price on Black Friday

Markets

  • below $650

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • below $600

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $456

  • below $450

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $955.9

  • below $700

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $997 · Liquidity $292.8

  • below $750

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $186.9 · Liquidity $107.2

  • below $500

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $126 · Liquidity $81.9

  • below $550

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $11

Resolution rules

If the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $750, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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