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Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026

Markets

  • Above $470 billion

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $788.5

  • Above $490 billion

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $886.9

  • Above $500 billion

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $727

  • Above $460 billion

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $432.3

  • Above $480 billion

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $200.9

  • Above $510 billion

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $793

Resolution rules

If Shopify Inc. reports Above 460000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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