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When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000?

Markets

  • Before Dec 31, 2029

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $150.2 · Liquidity $150.2

  • Before Dec 31, 2028

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $55.7 · Liquidity $9.7

  • Before Sep 23, 2030

    Closed
    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Dec 31, 2026

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jun 30, 2027

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Dec 31, 2027

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jun 30, 2028

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $10,000 at any point after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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