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How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

Markets

  • Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $14.3K · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $5.6K

  • Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • Above 50 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.8K

Resolution rules

If Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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