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Tesla energy deployment in Q4

Markets

  • Above 10 GWh

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 8 GWh

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Above 16 GWh

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $368.6 · Liquidity $176

  • Above 18 GWh

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $343.7 · Liquidity $272

  • Above 12 GWh

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $88 · Liquidity $44

  • Above 14 GWh

    • Yes85%
    • No16%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 20 GWh

    • Yes27%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 22 GWh

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 24 GWh

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Tesla reports Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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