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US retail sales in October

Markets

  • Above -0.2%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $100

  • Above 0.4%

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $31.6 · Liquidity $18

  • Above -0.4%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $0.6 · Liquidity $0.6

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes70%
    • No31%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.2%

    • Yes61%
    • No40%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.6%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.8%

    • Yes24%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 1.2%

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 1.4%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 1.6%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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