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Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Markets

  • Pauline Hanson

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $364.4 · Liquidity $364.4

  • Jane Hume

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $76 · Liquidity $2

  • Jim Chalmers

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $73 · Liquidity $17

  • Richard Marles

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $57.7 · Liquidity $24.4

  • Angus Taylor

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $38 · Liquidity $38

  • Anthony Albanese

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $8 · Liquidity $5

  • Andrew Hastie

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $2

Resolution rules

If Anthony Albanese becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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