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Which ballot measures will pass in California?

Markets

  • Proposition 38

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Proposition 39

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Proposition 45

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1K

  • Proposition 44

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Proposition 42

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $838.1

  • Proposition 37

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Proposition 5

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1K

  • Proposition 3

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $2K

  • Proposition 4

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Proposition 43

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • Proposition 1

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $560.3

  • Proposition 2

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $851.7 · Liquidity $847.7

  • Proposition 41

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $515.8 · Liquidity $356.2

Resolution rules

If Proposition 1 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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