How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
Markets
48
- Yes79%
- No21%
Volume $19.2K · Liquidity $12.5K
47
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.5K
Below 44
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K
49
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $727
46
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $762.9 · Liquidity $756.9
50 and above
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $703.5 · Liquidity $670.5
44
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $449 · Liquidity $449
45
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $79.9 · Liquidity $79.9
Resolution rules
If the Democratic party has won below 44 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win: 75%
24h vol $393.9 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $20 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
At least 44%: 92%
24h vol $17 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 50%: 98%
24h vol $11.6 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 80%: 97%
24h vol $5 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 52%: 97%
24h vol $3 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 50%: 86%
24h vol $1.4 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Webb County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 56%: 89%
24h vol $0.7 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Los Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
At least 60%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Fulton County, Georgia: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round)
At least 72%: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027

