Skip to content

Next Canadian federal election winner?

Markets

  • New Democratic Party

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $55.9 · Liquidity $29.5

  • Conservative Party

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $9.5 · Liquidity $5

  • Liberal Party

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $2.9 · Liquidity $2

Resolution rules

If Liberal Party wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses