Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
Markets
Before 2030
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $807.5 · Liquidity $99
Before 2034
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $597 · Liquidity $384
Before 2032
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $441 · Liquidity $104
Before 2028
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $277 · Liquidity $95
Resolution rules
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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