Skip to content

Will James Fishback announce a run for public office?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $7.4 · Liquidity $7.4

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses