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Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)

Markets

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $16.7K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $4.6K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Xavier Bertrand

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $2K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.6K

Resolution rules

If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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