Parry Sound-Muskoka by-election winner?
Markets
Conservative
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Liberal
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
NDP
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Conservative candidate wins the next Parry Sound-Muskoka federal by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 82%
24h vol $109.4 · Ends Aug 22, 2028
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?
Kyriakos Mitsotakis: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 25, 2028
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
No: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 8, 2028
Linz mayoral election winner?
SPÖ: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 25, 2028
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
No: 82%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Jul 1, 2028
When will Canada announce a snap election?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 28%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2028
Next Prince Edward Island general election winner?
Green Party: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 3, 2028
Córdoba Province Governor winner?
PJ: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 9, 2028
Baja California Governor winner?
Morena: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 6, 2028
Monterrey mayoral election winner?
PAN: 35%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 5, 2028
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
Kamala Harris: 35%
24h vol $33 · Ends Nov 1, 2028
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
No: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 4, 2028