Will Trump run for a third term?
Markets
Before Election Day
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $66.3K · Liquidity $19.9K
Before 2027
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $47.8K · Liquidity $20.9K
Before 2028
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $44.2K · Liquidity $14.3K
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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