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What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

Markets

  • United Nations

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • World Trade Organization

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • G7

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $421

  • Interpol

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $476

  • International Atomic Energy Agency

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $570.1

  • G20

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $125.3

  • OECD

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $961.4

  • World Bank Group

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $713.4 · Liquidity $342.3

  • Inter-American Development Bank

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $293.4 · Liquidity $76.7

  • International Monetary Fund

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $254.3 · Liquidity $73

Resolution rules

If the United States completely withdraws from G7 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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