Skip to content

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Markets

  • Lionel Messi

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $3.9M · Liquidity $2.2M

  • Kylian Mbappe

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.2M · Liquidity $1.8M

  • Lamine Yamal

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $3M · Liquidity $1.9M

  • Harry Kane

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $1.8M

  • Rodri

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.3M · Liquidity $677K

  • Ousmane Dembele

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $641.5K

  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $849.7K · Liquidity $756.2K

  • Erling Haaland

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $496.7K · Liquidity $428.2K

  • Michael Olise

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $447.5K · Liquidity $383K

  • Jude Bellingham

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $332.8K · Liquidity $301.5K

  • Declan Rice

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $117.5K · Liquidity $65.6K

  • Bruno Fernandes

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $71.7K · Liquidity $45.6K

  • Vinicius Junior

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $70.2K · Liquidity $40.9K

  • Vitinha

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $69K · Liquidity $39.1K

  • Bukayo Saka

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $68.8K · Liquidity $40.2K

  • Luis Diaz

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $67.9K · Liquidity $47.7K

  • Cristiano Ronaldo

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $63.4K · Liquidity $31K

  • Raphinha

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $57.7K · Liquidity $42.6K

  • Pedri

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $51.8K · Liquidity $31.6K

  • Tijjani Reijnders

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $47.7K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Rayan Cherki

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $39.7K · Liquidity $25.5K

  • Mohamed Salah

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $35.4K · Liquidity $14.4K

  • Nuno Mendes

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $32.1K · Liquidity $10.2K

  • Gianluigi Donnarumma

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $25.6K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • Marcus Rashford

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $25.5K · Liquidity $4.6K

  • Bradley Barcola

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $25.4K · Liquidity $8.6K

  • Phil Foden

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $24.1K · Liquidity $5.9K

  • Cole Palmer

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $23K · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Lautaro Martinez

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $21.8K · Liquidity $8K

  • Desire Doue

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $21.8K · Liquidity $8K

  • Scott McTominay

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $16K · Liquidity $13.4K

Resolution rules

If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses