Skip to content

When will Las Vegas receive a Pro Basketball expansion team?

Markets

  • Before Oct 15, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $794.8 · Liquidity $699.4

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $657.2 · Liquidity $657.2

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $540.9 · Liquidity $440

  • Before Feb 1, 2027

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $400.3 · Liquidity $200.3

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes77%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes90%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes94%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before October 15, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses