Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
Markets
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $51.6K · Liquidity $17.9K
Resolution rules
If a Category 4 or higher hurricane makes landfall in Florida (excluding the Florida Keys) between October 6, 2026 at 11:15:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More World markets
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Detroit in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 35%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Yes: 72%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 26%
24h vol $671.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $127.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
Below 1,550.00: 92%
24h vol $127 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 75%
24h vol $40.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 56%
24h vol $36.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Snow in Washington DC in Dec 2026?
Above 2 inches: 29%
24h vol $2 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Yes: 70%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027