Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
Markets
Above 1039 Ft
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $11.5K · Liquidity $1.9K
Above 1040 Ft
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $6K · Liquidity $1.4K
Above 1037 Ft
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $806.8
Above 1036 Ft
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Above 1038 Ft
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $875.3
Above 1033 Ft
- Yes65%
- No35%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $649.6
Above 1035 Ft
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $583.2
Above 1034 Ft
- Yes68%
- No32%
Volume $474.3 · Liquidity $378.9
Resolution rules
If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1033 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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