EU loses a member before 2030?
Mercados
Will a country leave the EU by 2030?
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $33.6K · Liquidez $17.2K
Reglas de resolución
If any country formally leaves the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
Before 2030: 72%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
France: 8%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Hungary: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Next government of the United Kingdom?
Reform UK majority: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Ghana presidential election winner?
Asiedu Nketia: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
Marco Rubio: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 ene 2030
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Michael Faulkender: 33%
Vol. 24h $6 · Cierra 8 ene 2030
Ghana parliamentary election winner?
NDC: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 dic 2029
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
Democratic Sweep: 49%
Vol. 24h $1.1K · Cierra 7 nov 2029
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 42%
Vol. 24h $506 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Summer Lee: 37%
Vol. 24h $145.2 · Cierra 7 nov 2029