Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Mercados

New Hampshire
- Yes88%
- No12%
Volumen $34.7K · Liquidez $13.8K
South Carolina
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $30.4K · Liquidez $11.3K
Iowa
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $28.7K · Liquidez $12.9K
Nevada
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $4.4K · Liquidez $2.7K

Reglas de resolución

If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Mercados

New Hampshire

South Carolina

Iowa

Nevada

Reglas de resolución

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

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Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

Mercados

New Hampshire

South Carolina

Iowa

Nevada

Reglas de resolución

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

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