California's 4th District margin of victory
Mercados
Eric Jones, 5+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Eric Jones, 10+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Eric Jones, 15+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Reglas de resolución
If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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