Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Mercados
No other person
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volumen $17.1K · Liquidez $9.8K
Ron DeSantis
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $5.6K · Liquidez $2.3K
Dan Driscoll
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volumen $5K · Liquidez $2.7K
Mike Waltz
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $3.2K · Liquidez $2.4K
Mike Pompeo
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $2K · Liquidez $2K
Tom Cotton
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $1.9K · Liquidez $1.8K
Elbridge Colby
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $1.1K
Wesley Hunt
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez $710
Joni Ernst
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volumen $1K · Liquidez $873.5
Steve Feinberg
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $1K · Liquidez $948.8
Tulsi Gabbard
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $860.9 · Liquidez $639.9
Christopher Miller
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $493.9 · Liquidez $478.9
Mike Rogers
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $435.1 · Liquidez $426.1
Mike Gallagher
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $170.2 · Liquidez $155.2
Keith Kellogg
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $74 · Liquidez $64
Bill Hagerty
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $31.7 · Liquidez $16.7
Trae Stephens
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $27 · Liquidez $14
Reglas de resolución
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Keith Kellogg, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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0: 48%
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