Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Mercados
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volumen $3.5K · Liquidez $2K
Reglas de resolución
If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 20%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2031
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2030
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
Vol. 24h $41 · Cierra 8 ene 2030
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
No: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 41%
Vol. 24h $323.8 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 95%
Vol. 24h $40 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
Vol. 24h $24.9 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030

