Saltar al contenido

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

Mercados

  • JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $21K · Liquidez $9.8K

  • Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $20.6K · Liquidez $10.1K

  • Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $15.9K · Liquidez $7.6K

  • Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $13.2K · Liquidez $7.6K

  • AOC defeats JD Vance

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volumen $11.7K · Liquidez $7.2K

  • JD Vance defeats AOC

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $8.2K · Liquidez $5.3K

  • Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volumen $7.9K · Liquidez $5.1K

  • Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $6.6K · Liquidez $3K

  • JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $5.8K · Liquidez $4.7K

  • Marco Rubio defeats AOC

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $5.1K · Liquidez $3.9K

  • Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $4.5K · Liquidez $3.2K

  • Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $2.5K · Liquidez $1.7K

  • Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $2.1K · Liquidez $1.2K

  • Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $1.6K · Liquidez $815.6

  • AOC defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $1.6K · Liquidez $1.3K

  • Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $1.4K

  • JD Vance defeats James Talarico

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $598.5

  • Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $787.7 · Liquidez $723.7

  • Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $761.7 · Liquidez $736.7

  • James Talarico defeats JD Vance

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $747.5 · Liquidez $604

  • Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $700.8 · Liquidez $686.8

  • Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $593.5 · Liquidez $543.5

  • JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $500.4 · Liquidez $218.4

  • Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $493.5 · Liquidez $493.5

  • James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $493.5 · Liquidez $450

  • JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $484.1 · Liquidez $292.1

  • Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $453 · Liquidez $453

  • JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $204.6 · Liquidez $204.6

  • Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $200.8 · Liquidez $200.8

  • Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $155 · Liquidez $155

  • JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $96.8 · Liquidez $96.8

  • Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

Reglas de resolución

If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos