2026: Trump's dream year?

Mercados

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $622.3K · Liquidez $188.1K

Reglas de resolución

If **ALL** of the following occur: 1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026 then the market resolves to Yes.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos

2026: Trump's dream year?

Mercados

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Reglas de resolución

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2026: Trump's dream year?

Mercados

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

Reglas de resolución

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

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