Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
Mercados
Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?
- Yes46%
- No54%
Volumen $9K · Liquidez $2.1K
Reglas de resolución
If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política
Michigan Senate margin of victory
El-Sayed, 1+ pts: 66%
Vol. 24h $35.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate margin of victory
Moody, 2+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $31.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia Senate margin of victory
Ossoff, 2+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $20.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $17.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 82%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Acton, 1+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Senate margin of victory
Brown, 2+ pts: 61%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win: 60%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Governor margin of victory
Jolly, 1+ pts: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Turek, 2+ pts: 37%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win: 49%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027