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TheKalshiAcademy
ES

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

Mercados

  • Democratic by 8.0% to 8.99%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volumen $23.9K · Liquidez $17.4K

  • Democratic by 9.0% or more

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volumen $15.8K · Liquidez $12.2K

  • Democratic by 7.0% to 7.99%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volumen $15.6K · Liquidez $13.4K

  • Democratic by 6.0% to 6.99%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $11.4K · Liquidez $9.1K

  • Democratic by 5.0% to 5.99%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $10.6K · Liquidez $5.5K

  • Republican by 6.0% to 6.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $9.4K · Liquidez $2.7K

  • Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $9.2K · Liquidez $4.7K

  • Republican by 0.01% to 0.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $8.3K · Liquidez $5.5K

  • Democratic by 0.01% to 0.99%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $7.9K · Liquidez $3.9K

  • Republican by 1.0% to 1.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $7K · Liquidez $4.4K

  • Democratic by 3.0% to 3.99%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $5.9K · Liquidez $3.6K

  • Republican by 7.0% to 7.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $5.6K · Liquidez $3.9K

  • Democratic by 4.0% to 4.99%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $5.2K · Liquidez $3.6K

  • Republican by 4.0% to 4.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $5K · Liquidez $3.1K

  • Democratic by 2.0% to 2.99%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $4.7K · Liquidez $3.4K

  • Republican by 3.0% to 3.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $4.7K · Liquidez $2.4K

  • Republican by 2.0% to 2.99%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $4.5K · Liquidez $2.3K

  • Republican by 5.0% to 5.99%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $4.1K · Liquidez $3K

  • Republican by 8.0% to 8.99%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $4.1K · Liquidez $2.3K

  • Republican by 9.0% or more

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $3.8K · Liquidez $2.6K

Reglas de resolución

If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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