Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
New York's 25th District margin of victory
Morelle, 19+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
Republican: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 nov 2028
Pennsylvania 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
World Trade Organization: 24%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
At least 48%: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 26th District margin of victory
Kennedy, 20+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2033
Texas's 30th District margin of victory
Haynes, 40+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 197K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Florida 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
Yes: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 2.10M: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio's 3rd District margin of victory
Beatty, 34+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Baja California Governor winner?
Morena: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 jun 2028
Who will be the fifth-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?
Amy Acton: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Tennessee 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?
Aam Aadmi Party: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 feb 2028
Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
At least 72%: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio's 13th District margin of victory
Sykes, 2+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 54%: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the fourth-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?
Amy Acton: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Texas 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory
Wied, 3+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
South Carolina 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Clark County, Nevada: Aaron Ford vote percent
At least 50%: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next DCCC chair?
Brad Schneider: 14%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 mar 2027
Florida 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats?
60 or more: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 26 dic 2027
Florida 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 25th District margin of victory
Williams, 9+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028?
No: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee Senate margin of victory
Hagerty, 4+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 78%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Mexico 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027