Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Republicans, 12+ pts: 6%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Biggs, 28+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Lacore, 2+ pts: 19%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 16th District margin of victory
Kelly, 3+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?
Yes: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
At least 54%: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 100K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the fourth-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026?
Amy Acton: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?
Before Mar 1, 2027: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Texas 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
Askar, 2+ pts: 25%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Georgia 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory
Wied, 3+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 29th District margin of victory
Angélica María Dueñas, 5+ pts: 3%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 14th District margin of victory
Reschenthaler, 17+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028?
No: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
California's 11th District margin of victory
Scott Wiener, 1+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory
Brooks, 1+ pts: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 75K: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washtenaw County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 78%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Mexico 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 6th District margin of victory
Houlahan, 8+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 nov 2027
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Alexi Giannoulias: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 23 feb 2028
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 may 2029
Lucas County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 56%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
Carey, 2+ pts: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
On Dec 10, 2026: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 nov 2027
Ohio's 1st District margin of victory
Conroy, 1+ pts: 8%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Georgia?
9-1-1 Fund Amendment: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Paraguayan Senate election winner?
Colorado: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 30 abr 2029
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
No: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029